Mill Valley Real Estate Report (October 2011 Home Sales Update) | Pacific Union International
November 11, 2011
September 2011 home sales in Mill Valley dipped to just 21 trades (this is reflective of the traditional slowdown related to Summer — e.g., because few homes go into escrow in August, there are few closings in September). These properties sold for an average price of $1.246 million and averaged 2,344 sq. ft. (or about $539 per sq. ft.). Pricing remains the key ingredient determining buyer interest levels and salability. Buyers continue to insist on readily apparent and undeniable value. If they don’t see it in a property, they are willing to wait it out. The number of listings actively on the market in the MLS has decreased to 83 homes. This is extraordinarily low inventory even for this time of year.
The percentage of homes in escrow are:
- Under $800,ooo — 48%
- $800,000 to $1 million — 19%
- $1 million to $1.5 million — 25%
- $1.5 million to $2 million — 13%
- Above $2 million — 14%
Listings in Sycamore Park, Boyle Park, and Tam Valley generated the most calls this month. Well-priced homes continue to generate multiple offers.
If you would like more information about neighborhoods, sales, schools, or local Mill Valley services references, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440 or e-mail me at Kyle@MillValley101.com. I currently have several clients who want to sell, but are waiting in the wings for Spring 2012. Please contact me to determine if any of these opportunities fit your needs. I am also a member of the Top Agent Network and Marin Platinum Group with access to dozens of homes not “officially” on the market but available for sale.
If you would like my Mill Valley Hot List, e-mail me. It is always my pleasure to be of service. Christie’s International Real Estate | Pacific Union International Mill Valley, CA.
Pacific Union Real Estate Mill Valley CA. Real Estate Report (July 2010 Home Sales Update)
August 31, 2010
The number of homes sold in the Mill Valley, California real estate market rose once again and Mill Valley’s touchstone price band ($1 million to $2 million) posted another solid month. For the most part, buyers now speak confidently about our market as it is truly a unique time in history to buy discounted homes with virtually free money.
Nonetheless, recent national media coverage has focussed on the slowdown in the number of sales nationwide, giving some buyers pause. But, Mill Valley is not Detroit or Las Vegas. The first time home buyer tax credit never impacted Mill Valley in a significant way. And it is because of the cessation of that credit that the number of homes sold went down on a month to month basis — it is no surprise. But again, Mill Valley is not Detroit or Las Vegas.
In fact, what the media failed to note was that sales of $1 million homes was UP 6.7% nationwide as affluent buyers took advantage of the great prices and interest rates available to them.
Take a look at the graph below reflecting sales activity in Mill Valley over $1.5 million in July 2010. Not only is the number of homes for sale down by 9%, but the median sales price for homes sold at or above $1.5 million is up 45%. They say things are “different” here — thank goodness they are right.
Overall, the number of sales in Mill Valley last month (July 2010) was UP 25% (from 24 sales in June to 30 in July 2010). Sales of homes over $1.5 million held steady with 8 (note that we have seen 14 sales over $2 million in the past 2 months — there were just 21 such sales in all of 2009). Moreover, we are seeing an improved marketplace in San Francisco which is the bellweather for Mill Valley and Marin.
Mill Valley’s 30 sales in July 2010 gave rise to the following averages: an average price of $1,345,776; and about 2,428 sq. ft. (or about $569 per sq. ft.). Note that the price per square foot number is prone to wild swings from month to month. For example, a few months ago, the price per square foot was $640 in Mill Valley. This is because the composition of sales varies from month to month — at best, price per square foot is a blunt instrument. Homes in Tam Valley, Scott Valley, Sycamore Park, and Country Club generated the most calls this month.
If you would like more information about neighborhoods, sales, schools, or local Mill Valley services references, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440 or e-mail me at Kyle@MillValley101.com.
p.s. I currently have several clients who want to sell, but are waiting in the wings. Please contact me to determine if any of these opportunities fit your needs. I am also a member of the Marin Platinum Group with access to dozens of homes not “officially” on the market but available for sale. If you would like my Mill Valley Hot List, call or e-mail me: (415) 350-9440 | Kyle@MillValley101.com.It is always my pleasure to be of service. Christie’s Great Estates | Pacific Union International.
Mill Valley CA Real Estate Market Report (April 2009 Home Sales Update)
April 16, 2009
Readers of my monthly reports on Mill Valley, CA. are well aware of my love for Mill Valley. They are also among the most informed consumers of Marin real estate (why else would they be reading my blog?). As such, despite my bias favoring Mill Valley, these consumers KNOW that Mill Valley presents serious value — right here, right now. This is true for every price band.
Here are some numbers to contemplate: (1) just eleven homes sold in Mill Valley last month — a slow market; (2) of the eleven homes that sold, four were priced under $800K; (3) the bread-and-butter price band is experiencing an abysmal 8% to 13% escrow rate; (4) the current absorption rate (AR) for homes in Mill Valley’s sweet spot (homes priced between $1 million and $2 million) is an amazingly high 17.25 months.
Note to buyers: write offers! A closed mouth does not get fed. Ask and you shall receive. Life happens and people have to sell their homes. Last night on Larry King, Donald Trump said that he has never seen a window of opportunity like this one and that this is the best time to buy real estate he has ever seen. Whatever you think of the source, can you really disagree? Don’t have a down payment? If not, do what it takes and put one together. Interest rates will shoot up at some point, evaporating affordability.
If you would like my Mill Valley Hot List, call or e-mail me: (415) 350-9440 | Kyle@MillValley101.com.
For several months my Mill Valley, CA, real estate report has noted that the market “is strangely out of sync,” buyers “are taking a few pitches to see what happens,” and I have also aired my suspicions about “undercover buyers” who are ready to buy and want to buy the “right” home. More than ever, I believe this is all true. And all I can say is “write offers.”
As evidenced by the above graph, The median price per square foot has dipped to about $625 per sq. ft. (which is down from well over $800 in mid-2007). While some buyers believe prices may slip a bit more, as noted above, most appreciate the fact that interest rates are very appealing. Indeed, mortgage math punishes those who don’t lock in at or near the lowest rate possible. For example, if prices dip another 5% and interest rates go up just 1%, the monthly payment would increase rather significantly for an $800K home with 20% down (call me for exact numbers relating to a given situation).
Down from March 2009, the percentage of homes in escrow under $800,000 slipped to 26% (it had been as low as 15% in November 2008). I have a fixer listed in Homestead Valley that is a super value play (3 Beds/3 Baths, 14,000 sq. ft. lot backing Molino Park).
Based on last month’s sales total of eleven, we currently have an overall inventory of homes (AR) sufficient to last about 12 months in Mill Valley, CA. Overall, the number of homes for sale rose to 122 (way up from 90 a month ago). The number of “bead and butter” homes (those priced between $1 million to $2 million) currently in escrow is a mere 9 — (which is low, but there were just 3 in escrow in February 2009). Meanwhile, the luxury market in Mill Valley (homes from $2 million and up remains drowsy — just a single luxury home closed last month, but there are three currently in escrow.
|
Price Range |
Total Active Homes |
Pending Listings |
|
Up to $750K |
14 (up 6) |
26% |
|
$750K – $1 mil. |
20 (down 7) |
20% |
|
$1 mil. – 1.5 mil. |
40 (up 7) |
9% |
|
$1.5 mil. – $2 mil. |
22 (up 7) |
8% |
|
$2 mil. – $4 mil. |
21 (up 2) |
13% |
|
$4 mil. & Up |
4 (up 1) |
0% |
Of the 11 sales to close escrow in March 2009, they averaged 119 days on the market and sold for an average price of about $1.25 million with about 2,047 sq. ft. (or about $645 per sq. ft.). Homes in Homestead Valley, Sycamore Park, Middle Ridge, and Strawberry generated the most calls this month. If you would like more information about neighborhoods, sales, schools, or local Mill Valley services references, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440 or e-mail me at Kyle@MillValley101.com. It is always my pleasure to be of service.
p.s. I currently have a couple potential sellers waiting in the wings with homes not on the MLS, please contact me to determine if any of these opportunities fit your needs.
